Tennis · WTA Toronto · 10/08, 17:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina
Team pages: Ekaterina Alexandrova · Elina Svitolina
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Elina Svitolina
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6-4 (W-L)
Elina Svitolina
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1–3
Elina Svitolina
(4 last)
- 16 Jun2-0 13-9W
- 27 Mar0-2 10-13L
- 10 Jan1-2 15-19L
- 02 Oct0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1538 · Elina Svitolina 1529
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Alexandrova 1–3 Elina Svitolina (4).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Elina Svitolina makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.7 | 11.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 40% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.8
Over 20.5: 69% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 31% · 1.80
H2H · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1 – 3 Elina Svitolina (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1–3 Elina Svitolina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/21 WTA Berlin | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/03/21 WTA Miami | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/01/21 WTA Abu Dhabi | 1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10/20 French Open Women | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Panna Udvardy Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ann Li WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Elina Svitolina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Eva Lys WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina?
Our model gives 60% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.