Tennis · WTA Toronto · 09/08, 18:30
Prediction: Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic
Team pages: Alexandra Eala · Belinda Bencic
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Eala
Belinda Bencic
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Eala
6-4 (W-L)
Belinda Bencic
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Eala 1624 · Belinda Bencic 1597
| Alexandra Eala | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Belinda Bencic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Alexandra Eala | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (7) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.7 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-9.7 | 13.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.5
Over 21.5: 54% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 46% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Eala
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maya Joint Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Belinda Bencic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Caty McNally French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Sinja Kraus French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic?
Our model gives 50% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.