Tennis · WTA Toronto · 08/08, 19:00
Prediction: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff
Team pages: Alina Korneeva · Coco Gauff
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Korneeva
Coco Gauff
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Korneeva
7-3 (W-L)
Coco Gauff
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Korneeva 1587 · Coco Gauff 1558
| Alina Korneeva | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Alina Korneeva | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8 | 14.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 61.6% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.9
Over 19.5: 75% · 2.00
Under 19.5: 25% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Korneeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Emma Navarro WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Coco Gauff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Solana Sierra Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Tamara Korpatsch Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff?
Our model gives 64% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.