Tennis · WTA Toronto · 10/08, 18:00
Prediction: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek
Team pages: Diana Shnaider · Iga Swiatek
Prediction summary
Winner
Diana Shnaider
Iga Swiatek
Estimated games
20.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Diana Shnaider
6-4 (W-L)
Iga Swiatek
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Diana Shnaider
0–1
Iga Swiatek
(1 last)
- 29 Apr1-2 11-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diana Shnaider 1555 · Iga Swiatek 1562
| Diana Shnaider | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Diana Shnaider 0–1 Iga Swiatek (1).
- Note: Iga Swiatek makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Diana Shnaider | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.6 | 11.7-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 52% · 2.00
Under 20.5: 48% · 1.72
H2H · Diana Shnaider 0 – 1 Iga Swiatek (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diana Shnaider 0–1 Iga Swiatek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/25 WTA Madrid | 1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diana Shnaider
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Eva Lys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Iga Swiatek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Taylor Townsend Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek?
Our model gives 62% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.