Prediction: Vihren Sandanski vs Nesebar
Team pages: Vihren Sandanski · Nesebar
| Vihren Sandanski | Draw | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vihren Sandanski (rating 1574 vs 1523).
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vihren Sandanski | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.1 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Fratria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Burgas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Nesebar | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 17 |
| 6 | Yantra Gabrovo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Beroe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Rilski Sportist | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Marek Dupnitsa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Montana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | Spartak Pleven | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vihren Sandanski | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Montana | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 4-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vihren Sandanski (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vihren Sandanski
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/09 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/09 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 09/08 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/07 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Nesebar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/09 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/08 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 7-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/08 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vihren Sandanski vs Nesebar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vihren Sandanski win (68%). Probabilities: Vihren Sandanski 68%, draw 19%, Nesebar 13%.
How many goals are expected in Vihren Sandanski vs Nesebar?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Vihren Sandanski 2.52 · Nesebar 1.07), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Vihren Sandanski vs Nesebar?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.