Football · Bulgaria Second League · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Team pages: FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

FC Hebar Pazardzhik2.35

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich1.11

1X2

64% 21% 15%

FC Hebar Pazardzhik Draw PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Hebar Pazardzhik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Hebar Pazardzhik 2–1–1 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich (4 last)

FC Hebar Pazardzhik2-0PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich0-1FC Hebar Pazardzhik
FC Hebar Pazardzhik1-1PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich2-1FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1520 · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1435

	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	Draw	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Our model	64%	20%	16%
Market	63%	22%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik (rating 1520 vs 1435).
H2H favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik: 2-1-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.7	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 6.7	2.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.10

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:47 +23’	1.42	4.10	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 2–1–1 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/22 Bulgaria B PFG	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	2-0 HT 0-0	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
30/10/21 Bulgaria B PFG	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
11/05/21 Bulgaria Second League	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	1-1 HT 0-0	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
29/11/20 Bulgaria B PFG	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	2-1 HT 2-1	FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vihren Sandanski	10	6	3	1	23	11	21
2	CSKA Sofia II	10	6	2	2	22	9	20
3	FK Fratria	10	5	4	1	14	8	19
4	Chernomorets Burgas	10	5	3	2	16	8	18
5	Nesebar	10	5	2	3	20	15	17
6	Yantra Gabrovo	10	5	1	4	12	10	16
7	Beroe	10	4	3	3	15	12	15
8	Rilski Sportist	10	4	3	3	13	10	15
9	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	10	4	3	3	9	10	15
10	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	10	4	2	4	23	17	14
11	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	10	4	2	4	17	19	14
12	Spartak Pleven	10	4	1	5	11	19	13
13	Marek Dupnitsa	10	4	1	5	11	12	13
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	10	3	3	4	9	10	12
15	Montana	10	3	2	5	13	21	11
16	Sportist Svoge	10	2	4	4	7	9	10
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	10	1	3	6	10	17	6
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	10	0	0	10	4	32	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Pirin Blagoevgrad	3-2 W	5-1 W
CSKA Sofia II	3-4 L	1-3 L
Vihren Sandanski	2-3 L	0-2 L
Beroe	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Hebar Pazardzhik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Montana Bulgaria Second League	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
14/09	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-1	7	5	W
07/09	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-3	8	10	L
01/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
29/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
23/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	11	5	W
18/08	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-2	8	4	W
11/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-4	2	5	L
02/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-3	7	6	L
24/07	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	6	5	L

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-3	7	5	L
13/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	8	1	L
06/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-2	5	7	D
03/09	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
29/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-4	4	9	L
16/08	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
10/08	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
02/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
28/07	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	2-0	5-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Hebar Pazardzhik win (64%). Probabilities: FC Hebar Pazardzhik 64%, draw 21%, PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 15%.

How many goals are expected in FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich?

The model expects 3.46 goals (FC Hebar Pazardzhik 2.35 · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1.11), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.