Football · Bulgaria Second League · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs Marek Dupnitsa

Team pages: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa · Marek Dupnitsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa1.15

Marek Dupnitsa0.85

1X2

42% 31% 27%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Draw Marek Dupnitsa

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWDDW

Marek Dupnitsa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDWLWL

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1–1–2 Marek Dupnitsa (4 last)

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0-1Marek Dupnitsa
Marek Dupnitsa1-1Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa4-1Marek Dupnitsa
Marek Dupnitsa2-0Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1493 · Marek Dupnitsa 1496

	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	Draw	Marek Dupnitsa
Our model	41%	33%	26%
Market	43%	30%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Marek Dupnitsa: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	Marek Dupnitsa
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.1	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	6.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:06 +4’	2.10	3.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1–1–2 Marek Dupnitsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Bulgaria Second League	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0-1 HT 0-1	Marek Dupnitsa
13/09/25 Bulgaria Second League	Marek Dupnitsa	1-1 HT 1-0	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
29/03/25 Bulgaria Second League	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	4-1 HT 1-1	Marek Dupnitsa
14/09/24 Bulgaria Second League	Marek Dupnitsa	2-0 HT 1-0	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vihren Sandanski	9	6	3	0	21	8	21
2	FK Fratria	10	5	4	1	14	8	19
3	Chernomorets Burgas	10	5	3	2	16	8	18
4	CSKA Sofia II	9	5	2	2	19	8	17
5	Nesebar	10	5	2	3	20	15	17
6	Yantra Gabrovo	10	5	1	4	12	10	16
7	Beroe	10	4	3	3	15	12	15
8	Rilski Sportist	10	4	3	3	13	10	15
9	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	10	4	3	3	9	10	15
10	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	10	4	2	4	17	19	14
11	Marek Dupnitsa	10	4	1	5	11	12	13
12	Ludogorets Razgrad II	9	3	3	3	9	9	12
13	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	9	3	2	4	18	17	11
14	Montana	9	3	2	4	13	16	11
15	Spartak Pleven	9	3	1	5	10	19	10
16	Sportist Svoge	9	1	4	4	4	7	7
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	9	1	3	5	9	14	6
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	10	0	0	10	4	32	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	Marek Dupnitsa
Yantra Gabrovo	1-0 W	0-3 L
Nesebar	1-1 D	1-0 W
Sportist Svoge	0-0 D	0-0 D
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	2-0 W	4-2 W
Montana	0-3 L	0-1 L
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2-1 W	0-1 L
Spartak Pleven	1-0 W	1-2 L
FK Fratria	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

DLLWWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
15/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
07/09	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
03/09	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
30/08	Montana Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
21/08	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
16/08	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/08	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-2	3	6	L
03/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-2	2	4	L
25/07	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D

Marek Dupnitsa

WLLLWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-3	8	9	L
13/09	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	3-0	3-0	9	2	W
06/09	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	2	8	L
02/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
29/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
23/08	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	2-1	4-2	5	9	W
16/08	Montana Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
07/08	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	1	9	L
01/08	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
25/07	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs Marek Dupnitsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win (42%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 42%, draw 31%, Marek Dupnitsa 27%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs Marek Dupnitsa?

The model expects 2 goals (Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1.15 · Marek Dupnitsa 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs Marek Dupnitsa?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.