Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 31/08, 00:30
Prediction: Portuguesa vs Metropolitanos FC
Team pages: Portuguesa · Metropolitanos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Portuguesa1.35
Metropolitanos FC1.23
1X2
Portuguesa
Draw
Metropolitanos FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Portuguesa
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Metropolitanos FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portuguesa
3–3
Metropolitanos FC
(6 last)
- Metropolitanos FC3-2Portuguesa
- Metropolitanos FC5-1Portuguesa
- Portuguesa2-1Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC2-1Portuguesa
- Portuguesa3-1Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC0-1Portuguesa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portuguesa 1515 · Metropolitanos FC 1559
| Portuguesa | Draw | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metropolitanos FC (rating 1515 vs 1559).
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portuguesa | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.8 | 1.7 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portuguesa 3–0–3 Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Portuguesa |
| 28/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Portuguesa |
| 21/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 13/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Portuguesa |
| 20/03/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 24/06/23 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Portuguesa |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Caracas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Monagas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | UCV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portuguesa | Metropolitanos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Tachira | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Carabobo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| UCV | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Metropolitanos FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portuguesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 05/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 10/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portuguesa vs Metropolitanos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portuguesa win (38%). Probabilities: Portuguesa 38%, draw 30%, Metropolitanos FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Portuguesa vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Portuguesa 1.35 · Metropolitanos FC 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Portuguesa vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.