Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 07/09, 01:00
Prediction: Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoategui FC
Team pages: Deportivo La Guaira · Academia Anzoategui FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Deportivo La Guaira2.21
Academia Anzoategui FC0.99
1X2
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw
Academia Anzoategui FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo La Guaira
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Academia Anzoategui FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo La Guaira
3–1–1
Academia Anzoategui FC
(5 last)
- Academia Anzoategui FC0-0Deportivo La Guaira
- Deportivo La Guaira1-2Academia Anzoategui FC
- Academia Anzoategui FC0-2Deportivo La Guaira
- Deportivo La Guaira3-1Academia Anzoategui FC
- Academia Anzoategui FC0-1Deportivo La Guaira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo La Guaira 1529 · Academia Anzoategui FC 1456
| Deportivo La Guaira | Draw | Academia Anzoategui FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo La Guaira (rating 1529 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Deportivo La Guaira: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo La Guaira | Academia Anzoategui FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.7 | 2.4 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.4 | 6.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo La Guaira 3–1–1 Academia Anzoategui FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Anzoategui FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 02/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Academia Anzoategui FC |
| 01/06/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Anzoategui FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 12/05/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Academia Anzoategui FC |
| 22/02/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Anzoategui FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Guaira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Monagas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 9 | UCV | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | Caracas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 12 | Zamora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 6 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo La Guaira | Academia Anzoategui FC |
|---|---|---|
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Estudiantes Merida | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Zamora | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Caracas | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Monagas | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Portuguesa | 2-0 W | 3-4 L |
| UCV | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo La Guaira (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo La Guaira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 12 | W |
| 17/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
4-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 06/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 16/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
Academia Anzoategui FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 06/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 21/04 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-6 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoategui FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo La Guaira win (64%). Probabilities: Deportivo La Guaira 64%, draw 22%, Academia Anzoategui FC 14%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoategui FC?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Deportivo La Guaira 2.21 · Academia Anzoategui FC 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoategui FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.