Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 06/09, 22:00
Prediction: Monagas vs Metropolitanos FC
Team pages: Monagas · Metropolitanos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Monagas1.24
Metropolitanos FC1.29
1X2
Monagas
Draw
Metropolitanos FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Monagas
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Metropolitanos FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Monagas
2–1–3
Metropolitanos FC
(6 last)
- Metropolitanos FC1-0Monagas
- Monagas2-0Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC2-2Monagas
- Metropolitanos FC1-2Monagas
- Monagas0-2Metropolitanos FC
- Monagas2-4Metropolitanos FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monagas 1519 · Metropolitanos FC 1553
| Monagas | Draw | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 30% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Metropolitanos FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monagas | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.9 | 1.8 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monagas 2–1–3 Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Monagas |
| 31/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 30/03/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Monagas |
| 18/07/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Monagas |
| 14/07/24 Venezuela Cup | Monagas | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 03/02/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 2-4 HT 0-3 | Metropolitanos FC |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Monagas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 9 | UCV | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | Caracas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 12 | Zamora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 6 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monagas | Metropolitanos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Trujillanos | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Portuguesa | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Tachira | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Carabobo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| UCV | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Estudiantes Merida | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Metropolitanos FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monagas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 10/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monagas vs Metropolitanos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Metropolitanos FC win (36%). Probabilities: Monagas 34%, draw 30%, Metropolitanos FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Monagas vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Monagas 1.24 · Metropolitanos FC 1.29), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Monagas vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.