Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 06/09, 23:30

Prediction: Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Team pages: Deportivo Tachira · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Deportivo Tachira2.26

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0.72

1X2

72% 18% 10%

Deportivo Tachira Draw Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Tachira 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWLDW

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Tachira 4–1–1 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano (6 last)

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-0Deportivo Tachira
Deportivo Tachira4-1Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-2Deportivo Tachira
Deportivo Tachira2-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1-0Deportivo Tachira
Deportivo Tachira3-1Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Tachira 1576 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1463

	Deportivo Tachira	Draw	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Our model	71%	19%	9%
Market	72%	18%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Tachira (rating 1576 vs 1463).
H2H favours Deportivo Tachira: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Tachira	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	2.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	6.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)2.00

2 (+1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:31 +7’	1.25	5.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Tachira 4–1–1 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Tachira
07/08/25 Venezuela Cup	Deportivo Tachira	4-1 HT 2-1	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
29/07/25 Venezuela Cup	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	0-2 HT 0-0	Deportivo Tachira
24/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Tachira	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
15/02/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Tachira
10/11/24 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Tachira	3-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Tachira	7	5	1	1	16	8	16
2	Metropolitanos FC	7	5	1	1	15	8	16
3	Academia Puerto Cabello	7	4	2	1	12	5	14
4	Deportivo La Guaira	7	4	1	2	17	9	13
5	Portuguesa	7	3	3	1	9	7	12
6	Estudiantes Merida	7	3	3	1	8	8	12
7	Carabobo	7	2	2	3	7	7	8
8	Monagas	7	2	1	4	9	11	7
9	UCV	7	2	1	4	8	10	7
10	Caracas	7	1	4	2	7	9	7
11	Trujillanos	7	2	1	4	7	11	7
12	Zamora	7	2	1	4	7	14	7
13	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	7	2	0	5	10	16	6
14	Academia Anzoategui FC	7	1	1	5	5	14	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Tachira	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Zamora	5-2 W	1-2 L
Caracas	0-0 D	1-2 L
Metropolitanos FC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Monagas	3-2 W	0-3 L
Estudiantes Merida	1-0 W	3-0 W
Carabobo	1-1 D	4-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Tachira

DWDWWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Zamora Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	5-2	2	4	W
30/08	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
23/08	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-3	6	4	L
16/08	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	3-2	13	7	W
09/08	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	3-1	2	2	W
05/08	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
31/05	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-0	13	8	W
24/05	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
18/05	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
13/05	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	6	5	D

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

LLLLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	2-1	4-3	4	8	W
01/09	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-4	4	10	L
22/08	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-4	0	12	L
16/08	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	7	L
10/08	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	3-0	7	9	W
06/08	Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
02/08	Zamora Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
25/04	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
18/04	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
12/04	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-3	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Tachira win (72%). Probabilities: Deportivo Tachira 72%, draw 18%, Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 10%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Deportivo Tachira 2.26 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 0.72), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.