Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 30/08, 23:00
Prediction: Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas
Team pages: Deportivo Tachira · Caracas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Deportivo Tachira1.97
Caracas0.85
1X2
Deportivo Tachira
Draw
Caracas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Tachira
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Caracas
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Tachira
3–2–1
Caracas
(6 last)
- Caracas0-1Deportivo Tachira
- Caracas0-0Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira2-3Caracas
- Caracas1-1Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira1-0Caracas
- Deportivo Tachira2-0Caracas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Tachira 1567 · Caracas 1486
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Tachira (rating 1567 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Deportivo Tachira: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Tachira | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Tachira 3–2–1 Caracas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 06/11/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 23/10/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Caracas |
| 02/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 23/02/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Caracas |
| 30/10/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Caracas |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Caracas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Monagas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | UCV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Tachira | Caracas |
|---|---|---|
| Metropolitanos FC | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Monagas | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Estudiantes Merida | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Carabobo | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Tachira (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Caracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/03 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Tachira win (62%). Probabilities: Deportivo Tachira 62%, draw 24%, Caracas 14%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Deportivo Tachira 1.97 · Caracas 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.