Football · Panama LPF · 28/09, 01:15

Prediction: Veraguas CD vs Sporting San Miguelito

Team pages: Veraguas CD · Sporting San Miguelito

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Veraguas CD1.78

Sporting San Miguelito0.91

1X2

57% 25% 18%

Veraguas CD Draw Sporting San Miguelito

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Veraguas CD 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDDDLWD

Sporting San Miguelito 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLWDLL

Head-to-head

Veraguas CD 2–3–1 Sporting San Miguelito (6 last)

Sporting San Miguelito2-3Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD0-0Sporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito2-2Veraguas CD
Sporting San Miguelito2-3Veraguas CD
Sporting San Miguelito2-1Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD1-1Sporting San Miguelito

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veraguas CD (rating 1533 vs 1458).
H2H favours Veraguas CD: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veraguas CD	Sporting San Miguelito
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.81

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:43

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.57 → 2.57	Pinn 2.57
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.10
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:36 +7’	2.57	3.10	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veraguas CD 2–3–1 Sporting San Miguelito

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/03/26 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	2-3 HT 2-0	Veraguas CD
02/09/25 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	0-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito
27/02/25 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	2-2 HT 0-0	Veraguas CD
09/11/24 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	2-3 HT 1-1	Veraguas CD
16/09/24 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	2-1 HT 1-0	Veraguas CD
18/03/24 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	1-1 HT 1-1	Sporting San Miguelito

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	9	5	2	2	19	12	17
2	Veraguas CD	9	3	5	1	14	13	14
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	9	2	4	3	14	14	10
4	CD Universitario	9	1	5	3	7	9	8
5	Union Cocle	9	1	2	6	6	16	5
6	Herrera FC	10	1	2	7	8	24	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veraguas CD	Sporting San Miguelito
Plaza Amador	1-1 D	0-2 L
Alianza FC Panama	2-1 W	0-0 D
CD Arabe Unido	1-3 L	0-1 L
UMECIT	1-1 D	1-0 W
San Francisco FC	3-3 D	0-2 L
Herrera FC	2-2 D	3-1 W
CD Universitario	2-1 W	1-1 D
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	1-1 D	3-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Veraguas CD (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veraguas CD

DDWWDDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
14/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/09	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
01/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
23/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	3-3	5	3	D
16/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-2	2-2	7	6	D
09/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
03/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-1	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
17/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	9	2	D

Sporting San Miguelito

LDLDWLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-2	3-4	3	4	L
15/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
06/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
31/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
22/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
16/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
10/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
02/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
28/07	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
03/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-1	2-3	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veraguas CD vs Sporting San Miguelito?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Veraguas CD win (57%). Probabilities: Veraguas CD 57%, draw 25%, Sporting San Miguelito 18%.

How many goals are expected in Veraguas CD vs Sporting San Miguelito?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Veraguas CD 1.78 · Sporting San Miguelito 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Veraguas CD vs Sporting San Miguelito?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.