Football · Panama LPF · 04/10, 01:15

Prediction: Veraguas CD vs Tauro FC

Team pages: Veraguas CD · Tauro FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Veraguas CD1.33

Tauro FC1.36

1X2

35% 28% 37%

Veraguas CD Draw Tauro FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Veraguas CD 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDDLWDD

Tauro FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Veraguas CD 2–1–3 Tauro FC (6 last)

Veraguas CD1-1Tauro FC
Tauro FC1-3Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD2-4Tauro FC
Veraguas CD2-1Tauro FC
Tauro FC2-1Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD1-2Tauro FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veraguas CD 1519 · Tauro FC 1504

	Veraguas CD	Draw	Tauro FC
Our model	35%	28%	37%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tauro FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 13.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veraguas CD	Tauro FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.8	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.3	7.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.20

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.55▲	Pinn 3.11 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.30
2	2.50 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:00 +29’	2.45	3.20	2.50
21:27 +12’	2.55▲	3.20	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:22 +77’	3.11	3.30	2.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Veraguas CD 2–1–3 Tauro FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	1-1 HT 1-1	Tauro FC
13/09/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-3 HT 1-2	Veraguas CD
30/03/25 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	2-4 HT 1-3	Tauro FC
26/08/24 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	2-1 HT 1-1	Tauro FC
25/02/24 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Veraguas CD
26/09/22 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	1-2 HT 0-1	Tauro FC

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	10	6	2	2	22	13	20
2	Veraguas CD	10	3	6	1	15	14	15
3	CD Universitario	10	2	5	3	9	10	11
4	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
5	Union Cocle	10	1	2	7	7	18	5
6	Herrera FC	10	1	2	7	8	24	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veraguas CD	Tauro FC
Sporting San Miguelito	1-1 D	0-0 D
Plaza Amador	1-1 D	2-3 L
Alianza FC Panama	2-1 W	0-2 L
CD Arabe Unido	1-3 L	0-1 L
UMECIT	1-1 D	1-1 D
San Francisco FC	3-3 D	1-3 L
Herrera FC	2-2 D	6-0 W
Union Cocle	1-0 W	2-0 W
CD Universitario	2-1 W	1-0 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 6 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tauro FC (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veraguas CD

DWWDDDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
14/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/09	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
01/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
23/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	3-3	5	3	D
16/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-2	2-2	7	6	D
09/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
03/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-1	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	3	6	D

Tauro FC

DDLLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-3	9	4	L
20/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	6-0	4	7	W
13/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
06/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	4	12	W
29/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	9	10	W
25/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
18/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
09/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
02/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	9	D
28/07	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	9	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veraguas CD vs Tauro FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tauro FC win (37%). Probabilities: Veraguas CD 35%, draw 28%, Tauro FC 37%.

How many goals are expected in Veraguas CD vs Tauro FC?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Veraguas CD 1.33 · Tauro FC 1.36), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Veraguas CD vs Tauro FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.