Football · Panama LPF · 04/10, 03:30

Prediction: Plaza Amador vs CD Universitario

Team pages: Plaza Amador · CD Universitario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Plaza Amador2.23

CD Universitario1.03

1X2

63% 22% 15%

Plaza Amador Draw CD Universitario

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Plaza Amador 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWDDW

CD Universitario 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDWDDLDW

Head-to-head

Plaza Amador 5–1 CD Universitario (6 last)

CD Universitario3-4Plaza Amador
CD Universitario1-3Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador3-1CD Universitario
Plaza Amador2-1CD Universitario
CD Universitario0-4Plaza Amador
CD Universitario2-1Plaza Amador

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plaza Amador 1566 · CD Universitario 1480

	Plaza Amador	Draw	CD Universitario
Our model	64%	21%	15%
Market	62%	23%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador (rating 1566 vs 1480).
H2H favours Plaza Amador: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plaza Amador	CD Universitario
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.1	3.2 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	6.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.42

X3.80

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:29 +2’	1.42	3.80	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Amador 5–0–1 CD Universitario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	3-4 HT 1-4	Plaza Amador
06/09/25 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	1-3 HT 0-1	Plaza Amador
09/03/25 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	3-1 HT 2-0	CD Universitario
29/09/24 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	2-1 HT 2-0	CD Universitario
07/04/24 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	0-4 HT 0-2	Plaza Amador
02/10/23 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	2-1 HT 1-1	Plaza Amador

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	10	6	2	2	22	13	20
2	Veraguas CD	10	3	6	1	15	14	15
3	CD Universitario	10	2	5	3	9	10	11
4	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
5	Union Cocle	10	1	2	7	7	18	5
6	Herrera FC	10	1	2	7	8	24	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plaza Amador	CD Universitario
Union Cocle	2-1 W	1-1 D
Veraguas CD	1-1 D	1-2 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-2 D	2-2 D
Herrera FC	4-1 W	1-0 W
San Francisco FC	1-4 L	1-2 L
UMECIT	3-0 W	2-1 W
Alianza FC Panama	4-2 W	0-0 D
Tauro FC	3-2 W	0-1 L
Sporting San Miguelito	2-0 W	1-1 D
CD Arabe Unido	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plaza Amador

DWWWWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
20/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
13/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	2	2	D
06/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-1	4-1	7	3	W
30/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
24/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	3-0	0	2	W
17/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	3-1	4-2	7	6	W
09/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	2-1	3-2	2	6	W
02/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
25/07	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-2	2-2	0	6	D

CD Universitario

LLDDWDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
20/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
13/09	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	10	8	L
06/09	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
30/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
23/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
16/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
11/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	5	6	D
03/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-2	6	8	L
26/07	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plaza Amador vs CD Universitario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Amador win (63%). Probabilities: Plaza Amador 63%, draw 22%, CD Universitario 15%.

How many goals are expected in Plaza Amador vs CD Universitario?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Plaza Amador 2.23 · CD Universitario 1.03), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Plaza Amador vs CD Universitario?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.