Football · Panama LPF · 06/10, 03:00

Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito vs Union Cocle

Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito · Union Cocle

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

Sporting San Miguelito1.3

Union Cocle0.99

1X2

43% 30% 27%

Sporting San Miguelito Draw Union Cocle

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting San Miguelito 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWLWDLLD

Union Cocle 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Sporting San Miguelito 1–0 Union Cocle (1 last)

Union Cocle1-2Sporting San Miguelito

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito 1487 · Union Cocle 1412

	Sporting San Miguelito	Draw	Union Cocle
Our model	43%	31%	27%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting San Miguelito (rating 1487 vs 1412).
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting San Miguelito	Union Cocle
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	6.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.31
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 4.19 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:37 +28’	2.05	3.10	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:59 +6’	1.81	3.31	4.19

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito 1–0–0 Union Cocle

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Panama LPF	Union Cocle	1-2 HT 1-2	Sporting San Miguelito

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	10	6	2	2	22	13	20
2	Veraguas CD	10	3	6	1	15	14	15
3	CD Universitario	10	2	5	3	9	10	11
4	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
5	Union Cocle	10	1	2	7	7	18	5
6	Herrera FC	10	1	2	7	8	24	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting San Miguelito	Union Cocle
Veraguas CD	1-1 D	0-1 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	3-4 L	0-3 L
San Francisco FC	0-2 L	2-1 W
CD Universitario	1-1 D	1-1 D
Herrera FC	3-1 W	0-1 L
CD Arabe Unido	0-1 L	1-4 L
UMECIT	1-0 W	0-1 L
Alianza FC Panama	0-0 D	2-2 D
Plaza Amador	0-2 L	1-2 L
Tauro FC	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting San Miguelito (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Miguelito

DLDWLWDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-2	3-4	3	4	L
15/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
06/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
31/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
22/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
16/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
10/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
02/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
28/07	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Union Cocle

LWLDLDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
22/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
12/09	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	1-4	2	4	L
06/09	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	4	12	L
30/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
23/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
16/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
09/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
02/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
26/07	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	2	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito vs Union Cocle?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting San Miguelito win (43%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito 43%, draw 30%, Union Cocle 27%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito vs Union Cocle?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Sporting San Miguelito 1.3 · Union Cocle 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito vs Union Cocle?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.