Prediction: JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond
Expected goals: 3.28 (JK Tallinna Kalev 1.95 · Maardu Linnameeskond 1.33). The model gives 52% home, 23% draw, 26% away. Under 3.75 goals (58%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, JK Tallinna Kalev sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Maardu Linnameeskond arrives on a 4-3-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for JK Tallinna Kalev and 0 for Maardu Linnameeskond, with 3 draws.
| JK Tallinna Kalev | Draw | Maardu Linnameeskond | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 21% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours JK Tallinna Kalev: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Tallinna Kalev | Maardu Linnameeskond | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tallinna Kalev 3–3–0 Maardu Linnameeskond
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga | Maardu Linnameeskond | 1-1 HT 0-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
| 21/11/21 Estonia Esiliiga | Maardu Linnameeskond | 1-1 HT 0-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
| 23/09/21 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Tallinna Kalev | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
| 02/08/21 Estonia Esiliiga | Maardu Linnameeskond | 1-2 HT 0-1 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
| 09/05/21 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Tallinna Kalev | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
| 11/01/20 Europe Friendlies | JK Tallinna Kalev | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 21 | 41 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Elva | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 23 |
| 5 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 33 | 21 |
| 6 | JK Nomme United II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 37 | 19 |
| 7 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 40 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 43 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Tallinna Kalev | Maardu Linnameeskond |
|---|---|---|
| JK Nomme Kalju II | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| JK Nomme United II | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Flora Tallinn II | 1-3 L | 0-5 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Viimsi JK | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Elva | 1-3 L | 3-4 L |
| FC Tallinn | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Tartu JK Welco | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Tallinna Kalev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/06 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
2-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/04 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Maardu Linnameeskond
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/06 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 11/06 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
3-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Tallinna Kalev win (52%). Probabilities: JK Tallinna Kalev 52%, draw 23%, Maardu Linnameeskond 26%.
How many goals are expected in JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond?
The model expects 3.28 goals (JK Tallinna Kalev 1.95 · Maardu Linnameeskond 1.33), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.