Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: Viimsi JK vs JK Nomme Kalju II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Viimsi JK2.34
JK Nomme Kalju II1.16
1X2
Viimsi JK
Draw
JK Nomme Kalju II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Viimsi JK
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
JK Nomme Kalju II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Viimsi JK
2–3–1
JK Nomme Kalju II
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viimsi JK 1577 · JK Nomme Kalju II 1460
| Viimsi JK | Draw | JK Nomme Kalju II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| Market | 63% | 20% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viimsi JK (rating 1577 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Viimsi JK: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Viimsi JK | JK Nomme Kalju II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK 2–3–1 JK Nomme Kalju II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Viimsi JK |
| 14/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Viimsi JK |
| 18/01/26 Europe Friendlies | JK Nomme Kalju II | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Viimsi JK |
| 09/11/25 Estonia Esiliiga | Viimsi JK | 4-0 HT 2-0 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
| 04/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Viimsi JK |
| 25/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Viimsi JK |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 34 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Elva | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 24 |
| 5 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 |
| 6 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 22 |
| 7 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 21 |
| 8 | JK Nomme United II | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 41 | 19 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 42 | 18 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 46 | 17 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Viimsi JK | JK Nomme Kalju II |
|---|---|---|
| Tartu JK Welco | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Maardu Linnameeskond | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| JK Tallinna Kalev | 3-0 W | 1-5 L |
| FC Tallinn | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Viimsi JK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viimsi JK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 22/06 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 16/04 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
JK Nomme Kalju II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/06 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/06 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 28/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
2-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK vs JK Nomme Kalju II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Viimsi JK win (63%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK 63%, draw 20%, JK Nomme Kalju II 17%.
How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK vs JK Nomme Kalju II?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Viimsi JK 2.34 · JK Nomme Kalju II 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Viimsi JK vs JK Nomme Kalju II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.