Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn U21 vs JK Tallinna Kalev
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.13Total
FC Levadia Tallinn U212.22
JK Tallinna Kalev1.91
1X2
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Draw
JK Tallinna Kalev
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
JK Tallinna Kalev
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
2–1–3
JK Tallinna Kalev
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1497 · JK Tallinna Kalev 1492
| FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | Draw | JK Tallinna Kalev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| Market | 45% | 22% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.13 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours JK Tallinna Kalev: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | JK Tallinna Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.8 | 2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.9 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 2–1–3 JK Tallinna Kalev
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Tallinna Kalev | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
| 23/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 3-2 HT 1-1 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
| 11/09/21 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Tallinna Kalev | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
| 20/08/21 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Tallinna Kalev | 5-0 HT 3-0 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
| 21/05/21 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 3-4 HT 1-4 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
| 19/10/17 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 0-2 HT 0-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 34 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Elva | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 24 |
| 5 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 |
| 6 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 22 |
| 7 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 21 |
| 8 | JK Nomme United II | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 41 | 19 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 42 | 18 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 46 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| FC Flora Tallinn II | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Tallinn | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Tartu JK Welco | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Elva | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| JK Nomme United II | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Maardu Linnameeskond | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| JK Nomme Kalju II | 0-1 L | 5-1 W |
| Viimsi JK | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Levadia Tallinn U21 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
JK Tallinna Kalev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
3-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/06 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
2-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Levadia Tallinn U21 vs JK Tallinna Kalev?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Levadia Tallinn U21 win (45%). Probabilities: FC Levadia Tallinn U21 45%, draw 22%, JK Tallinna Kalev 33%.
How many goals are expected in FC Levadia Tallinn U21 vs JK Tallinna Kalev?
The model expects 4.13 goals (FC Levadia Tallinn U21 2.22 · JK Tallinna Kalev 1.91), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Levadia Tallinn U21 vs JK Tallinna Kalev?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.