Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 12/07, 18:00

Prediction: JK Nomme United II vs FC Flora Tallinn II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.41Total
JK Nomme United II2.05
FC Flora Tallinn II2.36
1X2
34% 21% 45%
JK Nomme United II Draw FC Flora Tallinn II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
JK Nomme United II 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLDWLLLLDL
FC Flora Tallinn II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLDDWWWDLL
Head-to-head
JK Nomme United II 0–2–0 FC Flora Tallinn II (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Nomme United II 1437 · FC Flora Tallinn II 1505
JK Nomme United IIDrawFC Flora Tallinn II
Our model34%21%46%
Market33%22%45%
Estimated total (ours) 4.41 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Flora Tallinn II (rating 1437 vs 1505).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JK Nomme United IIFC Flora Tallinn II
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 32.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.20.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.41.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.14 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme United II 020 FC Flora Tallinn II

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/06/26
Estonia Esiliiga
JK Nomme United II3-3
HT 1-1
FC Flora Tallinn II
13/05/26
Estonia Esiliiga
FC Flora Tallinn II2-2
HT 0-0
JK Nomme United II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tartu JK Welco 181332 542342
2 Viimsi JK 17944 281431
3 FC Flora Tallinn II 17935 443430
4 FC Elva 18738 313224
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 18657 263823
6 JK Tallinna Kalev 18648 353622
7 FC Levadia Tallinn U21 187011 343321
8 JK Nomme United II 17548 344119
9 JK Nomme Kalju II 17539 284218
10 FC Tallinn 18459 254617

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJK Nomme United IIFC Flora Tallinn II
FC Tallinn 3-4 L 3-1 W
Tartu JK Welco 2-5 L 3-3 D
JK Tallinna Kalev 1-2 L 3-1 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U21 2-4 L 0-4 L
FC Elva 1-0 W 3-0 W
Maardu Linnameeskond 1-2 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 5 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Flora Tallinn II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Nomme United II

DLDWLLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 FC Tallinn
Estonia Esiliiga
2-3 3-4 129 L
30/06 FC Flora Tallinn II
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 3-3 26 D
21/06 Tartu JK Welco
Estonia Esiliiga
1-3 2-5 63 L
18/06 JK Tallinna Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 1-2 25 L
15/06 JK Nomme Kalju II
Estonia Esiliiga
1-2 1-4 11 L
25/05 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 2-4 25 L
16/05 FC Elva
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 1-0 44 W
13/05 FC Flora Tallinn II
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 2-2 62 D
09/05 Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 1-2 25 L
01/05 JK Tallinna Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga
1-2 4-4 77 D

FC Flora Tallinn II

WLDDWWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonia Esiliiga
1-2 2-3 45 L
05/07 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonia Esiliiga
0-2 0-4 63 L
30/06 JK Nomme United II
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 3-3 56 D
22/06 FC Elva
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 3-0 133 W
18/06 FC Tallinn
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 3-1 25 W
14/06 JK Tallinna Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 3-1 76 W
17/05 Tartu JK Welco
Estonia Esiliiga
2-2 3-3 16 D
13/05 JK Nomme United II
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 2-2 92 D
09/05 Viimsi JK
Estonia Esiliiga
0-2 0-4 13 L
01/05 Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonia Esiliiga
2-0 5-0 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Nomme United II vs FC Flora Tallinn II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Flora Tallinn II win (45%). Probabilities: JK Nomme United II 34%, draw 21%, FC Flora Tallinn II 45%.

How many goals are expected in JK Nomme United II vs FC Flora Tallinn II?

The model expects 4.41 goals (JK Nomme United II 2.05 · FC Flora Tallinn II 2.36), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Nomme United II vs FC Flora Tallinn II?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.