Prediction: Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn II
Expected goals: 3.92 (Maardu Linnameeskond 1.9 · FC Flora Tallinn II 2.03). The model gives 36% home, 22% draw, 42% away. Under 4 goals (54%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Maardu Linnameeskond with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; FC Flora Tallinn II has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Maardu Linnameeskond and 3 for FC Flora Tallinn II.
| Maardu Linnameeskond | Draw | FC Flora Tallinn II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 22% | 41% |
| Market | 37% | 22% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maardu Linnameeskond | FC Flora Tallinn II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 1.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maardu Linnameeskond 3–0–3 FC Flora Tallinn II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Flora Tallinn II | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
| 15/09/21 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Flora Tallinn II | 1-8 HT 1-5 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
| 20/08/21 Estonia Esiliiga | Maardu Linnameeskond | 1-3 HT 1-1 | FC Flora Tallinn II |
| 21/05/21 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Flora Tallinn II | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
| 21/11/20 Estonia Esiliiga | Maardu Linnameeskond | 3-5 HT 1-1 | FC Flora Tallinn II |
| 28/08/20 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Flora Tallinn II | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 31 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Elva | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 24 |
| 5 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 21 |
| 7 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 20 |
| 8 | JK Nomme United II | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 41 | 19 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 42 | 18 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 46 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maardu Linnameeskond | FC Flora Tallinn II |
|---|---|---|
| JK Tallinna Kalev | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| Viimsi JK | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| FC Elva | 3-4 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Tallinn | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Tartu JK Welco | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| JK Nomme United II | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Flora Tallinn II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maardu Linnameeskond
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/06 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/06 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 11/06 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
3-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
FC Flora Tallinn II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/06 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/06 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Flora Tallinn II win (42%). Probabilities: Maardu Linnameeskond 36%, draw 22%, FC Flora Tallinn II 42%.
How many goals are expected in Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn II?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Maardu Linnameeskond 1.9 · FC Flora Tallinn II 2.03), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn II?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.