Prediction: FC Tallinn vs FC Elva
| FC Tallinn | Draw | FC Elva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 22% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 20% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Elva (rating 1430 vs 1525).
- H2H favours FC Elva: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tallinn | FC Elva | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.2 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 1.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tallinn 0–3–3 FC Elva
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Elva | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Tallinn |
| 07/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Tallinn | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Elva |
| 19/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Elva | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Tallinn |
| 16/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Tallinn | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Elva |
| 22/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Elva | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Tallinn |
| 24/04/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Tallinn | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Elva |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 34 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Elva | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 24 |
| 5 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 |
| 6 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 22 |
| 7 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 21 |
| 8 | JK Nomme United II | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 41 | 19 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 42 | 18 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 46 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Tallinn | FC Elva |
|---|---|---|
| JK Nomme United II | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 0-4 L | 3-1 W |
| FC Flora Tallinn II | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Tartu JK Welco | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| JK Nomme Kalju II | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Maardu Linnameeskond | 0-0 D | 4-3 W |
| JK Tallinna Kalev | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Elva (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Tallinn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
3-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 14/05 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
FC Elva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 30/06 | FC Jarva-Jaani Estonia Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 22/06 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
1-3 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Tallinn vs FC Elva?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Elva win (58%). Probabilities: FC Tallinn 21%, draw 21%, FC Elva 58%.
How many goals are expected in FC Tallinn vs FC Elva?
The model expects 3.35 goals (FC Tallinn 1.22 · FC Elva 2.14), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Tallinn vs FC Elva?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.