Prediction: Coquimbo Unido (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)
Expected goals: 2.36 (Coquimbo Unido (W) 1.96 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 0.4). The model gives 75% home, 18% draw, 7% away. Under 3 goals (60%) and not both to score (57%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Coquimbo Unido (W) with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Santiago Wanderers (W) has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Coquimbo Unido (W) won 2 and Santiago Wanderers (W) 0, with 1 draw.
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | Draw | Santiago Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 20% | 6% |
| Market | 76% | 16% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (W) (rating 1582 vs 1446).
- H2H favours Coquimbo Unido (W): 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | Santiago Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 0.7 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coquimbo Unido (W) 2–1–0 Santiago Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Coquimbo Unido (W) |
| 31/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido (W) |
| 14/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Santiago Wanderers (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 37 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 17 |
| 8 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 12 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 12 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 11 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 40 | 4 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coquimbo Unido (W) | Santiago Wanderers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-0 D | 0-5 L |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Coquimbo Unido (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coquimbo Unido (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 12/06 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 02/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Santiago Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coquimbo Unido (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coquimbo Unido (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Coquimbo Unido (W) 75%, draw 18%, Santiago Wanderers (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Coquimbo Unido (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Coquimbo Unido (W) 1.96 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 0.4), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.