Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 12/07, 17:00
Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Magallanes (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Universidad de Concepcion (W)1.63
Magallanes (W)1.01
1X2
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Draw
Magallanes (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Magallanes (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
1–0
Magallanes (W)
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1470 · Magallanes (W) 1448
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Draw | Magallanes (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Magallanes (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.4 | 2.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1–0–0 Magallanes (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Magallanes (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 61 | 2 | 43 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 21 |
| 7 | Palestino (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 12 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Magallanes (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 0-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Union Espanola (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Huachipato (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Magallanes (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Magallanes (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 02/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Magallanes (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad de Concepcion (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Universidad de Concepcion (W) 51%, draw 26%, Magallanes (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Magallanes (W)?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1.63 · Magallanes (W) 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Magallanes (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.