Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 13/07, 01:00
Prediction: Universidad Catolica (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Universidad Catolica (W)1.87
Coquimbo Unido (W)0.99
1X2
Universidad Catolica (W)
Draw
Coquimbo Unido (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad Catolica (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Coquimbo Unido (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad Catolica (W)
1–1–4
Coquimbo Unido (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad Catolica (W) 1568 · Coquimbo Unido (W) 1566
| Universidad Catolica (W) | Draw | Coquimbo Unido (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Coquimbo Unido (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Catolica (W) | Coquimbo Unido (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/43/14% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica (W) 1–1–4 Coquimbo Unido (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
| 08/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
| 01/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad Catolica (W) | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Coquimbo Unido (W) |
| 27/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
| 19/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad Catolica (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Coquimbo Unido (W) |
| 06/11/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 61 | 2 | 43 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 21 |
| 7 | Palestino (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 12 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad Catolica (W) | Coquimbo Unido (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Colo Colo (W) | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Magallanes (W) | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad Catolica (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Catolica (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 7-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Coquimbo Unido (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 12/06 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 02/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad Catolica (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Universidad Catolica (W) 57%, draw 24%, Coquimbo Unido (W) 19%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Universidad Catolica (W) 1.87 · Coquimbo Unido (W) 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.