Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 11/07, 23:00
Prediction: Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.97Total
Deportes Recoleta (W)1.56
Universidad de Chile (W)2.42
1X2
Deportes Recoleta (W)
Draw
Universidad de Chile (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Recoleta (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Chile (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Recoleta (W)
0–3
Universidad de Chile (W)
(3 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (W) (rating 1415 vs 1599).
- H2H favours Universidad de Chile (W): 3-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | Universidad de Chile (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 3.4 | 2.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/25/75% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 4.5 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Recoleta (W) 0–0–3 Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Deportes Recoleta (W) |
| 13/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 27/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Deportes Recoleta (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 61 | 2 | 43 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 21 |
| 7 | Palestino (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 12 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Recoleta (W) | Universidad de Chile (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Palestino (W) | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Union Espanola (W) | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Magallanes (W) | 2-3 L | 5-1 W |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-9 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad de Chile (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Recoleta (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-9 | 1 | 1 | L |
Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Deportes Recoleta (W) 23%, draw 21%, Universidad de Chile (W) 56%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Deportes Recoleta (W) 1.56 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.42), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.