Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 12/07, 22:00
Prediction: Colo Colo (W) vs Palestino (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.57Total
Colo Colo (W)3.28
Palestino (W)1.28
1X2
Colo Colo (W)
Draw
Palestino (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Colo Colo (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Palestino (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colo Colo (W)
6–0
Palestino (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colo Colo (W) 1668 · Palestino (W) 1446
| Colo Colo (W) | Draw | Palestino (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 93% | 5% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.57 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (W) (rating 1668 vs 1446).
- H2H favours Colo Colo (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colo Colo (W) | Palestino (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.9 / 8.6 | 2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo (W) 6–0–0 Palestino (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Palestino (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Colo Colo (W) |
| 09/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Colo Colo (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Palestino (W) |
| 01/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Palestino (W) | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo (W) |
| 24/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Colo Colo (W) | 9-1 HT 3-0 | Palestino (W) |
| 28/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Palestino (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo (W) |
| 21/08/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Colo Colo (W) | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Palestino (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 61 | 2 | 43 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 21 |
| 7 | Palestino (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 12 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colo Colo (W) | Palestino (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 7-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 9-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colo Colo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Palestino (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colo Colo (W) vs Palestino (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colo Colo (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Colo Colo (W) 85%, draw 9%, Palestino (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Colo Colo (W) vs Palestino (W)?
The model expects 4.57 goals (Colo Colo (W) 3.28 · Palestino (W) 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Colo Colo (W) vs Palestino (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.