Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 11/07, 17:30
Prediction: Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.79Total
Deportivo Recoleta (W)0.89
Universidad de Chile (W)2.89
1X2
Deportivo Recoleta (W)
Draw
Universidad de Chile (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Recoleta (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Chile (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Recoleta (W) 1455 · Universidad de Chile (W) 1584
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | Draw | Universidad de Chile (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| Market | 3% | 8% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.79 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (W) (rating 1455 vs 1584).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | Universidad de Chile (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 2.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 4.5 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 61 | 2 | 43 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 12 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Recoleta (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-8 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/03 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/11 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Copa EFE Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Deportivo Recoleta (W) 5%, draw 11%, Universidad de Chile (W) 84%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model expects 3.79 goals (Deportivo Recoleta (W) 0.89 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.89), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.