Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 11/07, 21:30
Prediction: Union Espanola (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Union Espanola (W)1.97
Santiago Wanderers (W)0.52
1X2
Union Espanola (W)
Draw
Santiago Wanderers (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Union Espanola (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Santiago Wanderers (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Espanola (W)
1–2–0
Santiago Wanderers (W)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Espanola (W) 1533 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 1457
| Union Espanola (W) | Draw | Santiago Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 21% | 8% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Espanola (W) (rating 1533 vs 1457).
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola (W) | Santiago Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 0.7 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola (W) 1–2–0 Santiago Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 24/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Santiago Wanderers (W) |
| 09/03/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 61 | 2 | 43 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 12 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Espanola (W) | Santiago Wanderers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 5-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Palestino (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Espanola (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 24/04 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Santiago Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 26/06 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Espanola (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Espanola (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Union Espanola (W) 72%, draw 20%, Santiago Wanderers (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Union Espanola (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Union Espanola (W) 1.97 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 0.52), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Espanola (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.