Recommendations
The model's recommendations, frozen when published. The selection and odds are the ones you see here; «Track record» measures the settled set and may differ on some matches.*
* Void bets (your money back) stay in the track record, but do not count towards the yield or the hit-rate.
See the model track record
Model track record
Real result of settled value bets, at 1 unit per bet (win +odds−1, loss −1). "Yield" is profit over total staked.
Performance by sport, market and value tier
Each sport with its markets below, each market with its two sides, and each side with what it has returned at every value tier. Same breakdown you use to pick what you receive in My board.
| Market | Bets | Hit-rate | Avg. odds | Profit | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Football | 5455 | 53% | 1.90 | +106.99 | +1.96%[-0.3 ; 4.2] |
| Asian handicap | 2984 | 51% | 1.90 | +2.76 | +0.09%[-3.1 ; 3.3] |
| Home | 943 | 55% | 1.90 | +65.76 | +6.97%[1.2 ; 12.7] |
| 1Level 1 | 737 | 54% | 1.90 | +34.13 | +4.63%[-1.9 ; 11.1] |
| 2Level 2 | 206 | 59% | 1.90 | +31.63 | +15.35%[3.0 ; 27.7] |
| Away | 2041 | 50% | 1.90 | -63 | -3.09%[-7.0 ; 0.8] |
| 1Level 1 | 1662 | 49% | 1.90 | -61.71 | -3.71%[-8.1 ; 0.6] |
| 2Level 2 | 379 | 52% | 1.91 | -1.29 | -0.34%[-9.5 ; 8.8] |
| Over/Under goals | 2455 | 54% | 1.90 | +96.48 | +3.93%[0.4 ; 7.5] |
| Over | 696 | 57% | 1.88 | +51.61 | +7.41%[0.8 ; 14.1] |
| 1Level 1 | 684 | 57% | 1.88 | +49.86 | +7.29%[0.6 ; 14.0] |
| 2Level 2 | 12 | 58% | 1.95 | +1.75 | +14.58%[-49.8 ; 78.9] |
| Under | 1759 | 53% | 1.91 | +44.88 | +2.55%[-1.7 ; 6.8] |
| 1Level 1 | 1469 | 54% | 1.92 | +48.14 | +3.28%[-1.4 ; 7.9] |
| 2Level 2 | 290 | 52% | 1.90 | -3.26 | -1.12%[-11.7 ; 9.4] |
| Double chance | 9 | 78% | 1.90 | +4.05 | +45%[-20.2 ; 110.2] |
| 1Level 1 | 4 | 75% | 1.78 | +1.38 | +34.5%[-112.1 ; 181.1] |
| 2Level 2 | 5 | 80% | 2.00 | +2.67 | +53.4%[-56.3 ; 163.1] |
| Winner (1X2) | 7 | 71% | 2.19 | +3.7 | +52.89%[-45.5 ; 151.2] |
| 1Level 1 | 7 | 71% | 2.19 | +3.7 | +52.89%[-45.5 ; 151.2] |
| Market | Bets | Hit-rate | Avg. odds | Profit | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basketball | 114 | 55% | 1.85 | +3.14 | +2.75%[-14.5 ; 20.0] |
| Over/Under points | 112 | 54% | 1.84 | +0.34 | +0.3%[-17.0 ; 17.6] |
| Over | 49 | 59% | 1.83 | +4.26 | +8.69%[-17.5 ; 34.9] |
| 1Level 1 | 49 | 59% | 1.83 | +4.26 | +8.69%[-17.5 ; 34.9] |
| Under | 63 | 51% | 1.85 | -3.92 | -6.22%[-29.7 ; 17.2] |
| 1Level 1 | 63 | 51% | 1.85 | -3.92 | -6.22%[-29.7 ; 17.2] |
| Winner | 2 | 100% | 2.40 | +2.8 | +140%[12.9 ; 267.1] |
| 2Level 2 | 2 | 100% | 2.40 | +2.8 | +140%[12.9 ; 267.1] |
| Market | Bets | Hit-rate | Avg. odds | Profit | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Handball | 132 | 64% | 2.00 | +30.68 | +23.24%[7.0 ; 39.5] |
| Over/Under points | 86 | 76% | 1.86 | +34.73 | +40.38%[23.2 ; 57.6] |
| Over | 49 | 71% | 1.86 | +16.13 | +32.92%[8.5 ; 57.3] |
| 1Level 1 | 49 | 71% | 1.86 | +16.13 | +32.92%[8.5 ; 57.3] |
| Under | 37 | 81% | 1.85 | +18.6 | +50.27%[25.7 ; 74.8] |
| 1Level 1 | 37 | 81% | 1.85 | +18.6 | +50.27%[25.7 ; 74.8] |
| Winner | 46 | 41% | 2.27 | -4.05 | -8.8%[-41.7 ; 24.1] |
| 1Level 1 | 31 | 39% | 2.25 | -4.8 | -15.48%[-55.5 ; 24.5] |
| 2Level 2 | 15 | 47% | 2.30 | +0.75 | +5%[-59.6 ; 69.6] |
| Market | Bets | Hit-rate | Avg. odds | Profit | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennis | 448 | 51% | 1.90 | -16.71 | -3.73%[-12.6 ; 5.1] |
| Winner | 448 | 51% | 1.90 | -16.71 | -3.73%[-12.6 ; 5.1] |
| 1Level 1 | 357 | 50% | 1.89 | -19.99 | -5.6%[-15.5 ; 4.2] |
| 2Level 2 | 91 | 54% | 1.93 | +3.29 | +3.61%[-16.5 ; 23.8] |
Tier 1 = value 5–8%; tier 2 = value ≥8%. Same Historial bets, at 1 unit per bet and at the odds recorded when the tip was published. Under 30 bets the yield is still noise: the «Bets» column shows how many are behind each figure. Hover any yield to see its 95% confidence interval. Past performance: it is not a promise of future profit.
Theoretical profit at flat stake on the odds recorded at tip time. Betting carries risk. Gamble responsibly.
Upcoming: recommendations frozen before kick-off. Live: the ones playing right now, with live score. Track record: performance of the settled ones.
Asian handicap — track record
REAL strategy performance, at flat stake, at the real recorded Bet365 odds. These bets also count in the main Historial.
| Strategy | Bets | Hit-rate | Avg. odds | Profit | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asian handicap | 3248 | 47% | 1.90 | +2.76 | +0.08% |
Settled picks history · 3323
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Time | Match | Bet | Odds | Book | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | 17:00 | Al Riyadh – Al Hilal Riyadh | Al Riyadh HA +2.25 | 1.85 | Bet365 | – Void | — |
| 16/10 | 15:00 | Iveria Khashuri – Betlemi | Betlemi HA +1 | 2.00 | Bet365 | L 8-0 | -1 |
| 16/10 | 14:00 | Persiba Balikpapan – Kendal Tornado | Persiba Balikpapan HA +1.5 | 1.98 | Bet365 | L 0-3 | -1 |
| 16/10 | 14:00 | Unirea Dej – CS Crisul Santandrei | Unirea Dej HA +1.25 | 1.95 | Bet365 | W 1-2 | +0.48 |
| 16/10 | 13:00 | Guria Lanchkhuti – FC Tbilisi 2025 | FC Tbilisi 2025 HA +0.75 | 1.98 | Bet365 | W 0-0 | +0.98 |
| 16/10 | 10:45 | PWD Sports Club – Mohammedan Dhaka | PWD Sports Club HA +1.75 | 1.85 | Bet365 | L 0-2 | -0.5 |
| 14/10 | 06:00 | Green Shield FC – SOSA | SOSA HA +1.75 | 1.82 | Bet365 | – Void | — |
| 16/10 | 03:00 | Real Esteli – Jalapa | Jalapa HA +1.75 | 1.98 | Bet365 | W 1-1 | +0.98 |
| 16/10 | 03:00 | Deportes Quindio – Real Cartagena | Deportes Quindio HA 0 | 1.98 | Bet365 | N 1-1 | 0 |
| 16/10 | 03:00 | CD Luis Angel Firpo – CD INCA Aruba | CD INCA Aruba HA +1.75 | 1.95 | Bet365 | L 2-0 | -0.5 |

