Prediction: Le Havre vs PSG
- Le Havre0-1PSG
- PSG3-0Le Havre
- PSG2-1Le Havre
- Le Havre1-4PSG
- PSG3-3Le Havre
- Le Havre0-2PSG
| Le Havre | Draw | PSG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 18% | 74% |
| Market | 9% | 15% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG (rating 1417 vs 1615).
- H2H favours PSG: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Le Havre | PSG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Havre 0–1–5 PSG
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-1 HT 0-1 | PSG |
| 22/11/25 France Ligue 1 | PSG | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Le Havre |
| 19/04/25 France Ligue 1 | PSG | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Le Havre |
| 16/08/24 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 1-4 HT 0-1 | PSG |
| 27/04/24 France Ligue 1 | PSG | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Le Havre |
| 03/12/23 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-2 HT 0-1 | PSG |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Le Havre | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| Lille | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Brest | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Monaco | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Lorient | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Marseille | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PSG (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Le Havre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
PSG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Le Havre vs PSG?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PSG win (75%). Probabilities: Le Havre 9%, draw 16%, PSG 75%.
How many goals are expected in Le Havre vs PSG?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Le Havre 0.64 · PSG 2.3), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs PSG?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.