Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 27/10, 05:00
Prediction: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin
Team pages: Kaitlin Quevedo · Sofia Kenin
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaitlin Quevedo
Sofia Kenin
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kaitlin Quevedo
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Kenin
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaitlin Quevedo 1555 · Sofia Kenin 1428
| Kaitlin Quevedo | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaitlin Quevedo (rating 1555 vs 1428).
- Kaitlin Quevedo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kaitlin Quevedo | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.3 | 9.8-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaitlin Quevedo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Anna Rogers WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Elise Mertens US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Sofia Kenin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Kayla Day WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Venus Williams US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin?
Our model gives 55% to Kaitlin Quevedo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.