Football · Panama Liga Prom · 27/10, 15:00
Prediction: Udelas FC vs SD Atletico Nacional
Team pages: Udelas FC · SD Atletico Nacional
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
Udelas FC2.22
SD Atletico Nacional1.5
1X2
Udelas FC
Draw
SD Atletico Nacional
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Udelas FC
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
SD Atletico Nacional
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Udelas FC
1–2–3
SD Atletico Nacional
(6 last)
- SD Atletico Nacional1-3Udelas FC
- SD Atletico Nacional3-3Udelas FC
- Udelas FC1-1SD Atletico Nacional
- SD Atletico Nacional5-1Udelas FC
- Udelas FC0-7SD Atletico Nacional
- SD Atletico Nacional4-0Udelas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Udelas FC 1607 · SD Atletico Nacional 1503
| Udelas FC | Draw | SD Atletico Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Udelas FC (rating 1607 vs 1503).
- H2H favours SD Atletico Nacional: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 15.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Udelas FC | SD Atletico Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.9 | 2.1 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 71/29/0% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.1 / 0.1 | 8.2 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Udelas FC 1–2–3 SD Atletico Nacional
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/26 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Udelas FC |
| 17/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 3-3 HT 0-3 | Udelas FC |
| 12/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | Udelas FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | SD Atletico Nacional |
| 03/05/25 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Udelas FC |
| 08/02/25 Panama Liga Prom | Udelas FC | 0-7 HT 0-2 | SD Atletico Nacional |
| 25/10/24 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Udelas FC |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguilas de la U | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | Udelas FC | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | San Francisco Reserves | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
| 5 | SD Atletico Nacional | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
| 6 | Union Cocle Reserves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Udelas FC | SD Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Veraguas United Reserves | 5-1 W | 3-4 L |
| CD Universitario Reserves | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| La Familia FC | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Herrera FC Reserves | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Rayados de Chiriqui | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Bocas | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Aguilas de la U | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Udelas FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Udelas FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/10 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 19/09 | La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 30/08 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
SD Atletico Nacional
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/10 | La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 26/09 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/09 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 28/08 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Udelas FC vs SD Atletico Nacional?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Udelas FC win (52%). Probabilities: Udelas FC 52%, draw 23%, SD Atletico Nacional 24%.
How many goals are expected in Udelas FC vs SD Atletico Nacional?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Udelas FC 2.22 · SD Atletico Nacional 1.5), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Udelas FC vs SD Atletico Nacional?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.