Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 11/11, 09:30
Prediction: Andrea Fiorentini vs Alex Marti Pujolras
Team pages: Andrea Fiorentini · Alex Marti Pujolras
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Fiorentini
Alex Marti Pujolras
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Fiorentini
2-8 (W-L)
Alex Marti Pujolras
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Fiorentini 1423 · Alex Marti Pujolras 1516
| Andrea Fiorentini | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Marti Pujolras (rating 1423 vs 1516).
- Alex Marti Pujolras is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Andrea Fiorentini makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Fiorentini | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-11.2 | 12.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Fiorentini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Antonio Caruso M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 04/11 | John Sperle M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Peter Makk M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | William Nolan M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Dusan Milanovic M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Valencia |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 11/10 | John Sperle Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Fiorentini vs Alex Marti Pujolras?
Our model gives 77% to Alex Marti Pujolras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.