Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 12/11, 11:30
Prediction: Sergi Perez Contri vs Matteo Gribaldo
Team pages: Sergi Perez Contri · Matteo Gribaldo
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergi Perez Contri
Matteo Gribaldo
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Perez Contri
4-6 (W-L)
Matteo Gribaldo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Perez Contri 1522 · Matteo Gribaldo 1547
| Sergi Perez Contri | Matteo Gribaldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sergi Perez Contri makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Sergi Perez Contri | Matteo Gribaldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.4 | 10.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 63% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Perez Contri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | John Sperle M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/11 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Valencia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Samuele Pieri M25 Valencia |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Dmitry Popko M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/10 | Florian Broska Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/10 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Matteo Gribaldo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Federico Iannaccone M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Marcello Serafini M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Tom Gentzsch M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Luca Castagnola M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Perez Contri vs Matteo Gribaldo?
Our model gives 57% to Sergi Perez Contri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.