Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 12/11, 11:30
Prediction: Giuseppe La Vela vs Andrej Martin
Team pages: Giuseppe La Vela · Andrej Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Giuseppe La Vela
Andrej Martin
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Giuseppe La Vela
4-6 (W-L)
Andrej Martin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giuseppe La Vela 1496 · Andrej Martin 1572
| Giuseppe La Vela | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrej Martin (rating 1496 vs 1572).
- Andrej Martin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Giuseppe La Vela | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.6 | 12.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 61.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giuseppe La Vela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Leonardo Primucci M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Stepan Baum M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Kalin Ivanovski Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Andrej Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Michele Mecarelli M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/11 | Eero Vasa Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/11 | Achilles Belkovics UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 31/10 | Tadeas Paroulek UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Achilleas Makris UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Trisztan Gubi UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Bercel Sandor Takacs UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giuseppe La Vela vs Andrej Martin?
Our model gives 62% to Andrej Martin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.