Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 12/11, 10:00
Prediction: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Alex Marti Pujolras
Team pages: Gianmarco Ferrari · Alex Marti Pujolras
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianmarco Ferrari
Alex Marti Pujolras
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Gianmarco Ferrari
8-2 (W-L)
Alex Marti Pujolras
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gianmarco Ferrari
1–0
Alex Marti Pujolras
(1 last)
- 24 Mar2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianmarco Ferrari 1556 · Alex Marti Pujolras 1543
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gianmarco Ferrari 1–0 Alex Marti Pujolras (1).
Statistics
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9 | 11.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Gianmarco Ferrari 1 – 0 Alex Marti Pujolras (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gianmarco Ferrari 1–0 Alex Marti Pujolras
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/23 ITF M25 Palmanova | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianmarco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Lorenzo Berto M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/11 | Michele Mecarelli M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/11 | Andrea De Marchi M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/11 | Jacopo Berrettini M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Antonio Marigliano M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Giannicola Misasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Alex Marti Pujolras
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Andrea Fiorentini M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/11 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Valencia |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 11/10 | John Sperle Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianmarco Ferrari vs Alex Marti Pujolras?
Our model gives 56% to Alex Marti Pujolras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.