Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 12/11, 10:00
Prediction: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Team pages: Tommaso Compagnucci · Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Tommaso Compagnucci
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tommaso Compagnucci
5-5 (W-L)
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tommaso Compagnucci
0–1
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
(1 last)
- 22 Jul0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tommaso Compagnucci 1524 · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1533
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tommaso Compagnucci 0–1 Oleksandr Ovcharenko (1).
Statistics
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.4 | 12.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Tommaso Compagnucci 0 – 1 Oleksandr Ovcharenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tommaso Compagnucci 0–1 Oleksandr Ovcharenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/22 ITF M25 Radomlje | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tommaso Compagnucci
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Mak Mikovic M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 21/10 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Pietro Marino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Branko Djuric M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Riccardo Carpano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Pietro Marino M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/10 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tommaso Compagnucci vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 51% to Oleksandr Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.