Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 13/11, 11:00
Prediction: Matteo Gribaldo vs Giuseppe La Vela
Team pages: Matteo Gribaldo · Giuseppe La Vela
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Gribaldo
Giuseppe La Vela
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Gribaldo
4-6 (W-L)
Giuseppe La Vela
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Gribaldo 1570 · Giuseppe La Vela 1508
| Matteo Gribaldo | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matteo Gribaldo (rating 1570 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Matteo Gribaldo | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.4 | 11.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Gribaldo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/11 | Federico Iannaccone M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Marcello Serafini M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Tom Gentzsch M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-12 | L |
Giuseppe La Vela
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Andrej Martin M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/11 | Leonardo Primucci M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Stepan Baum M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Kalin Ivanovski Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Gribaldo vs Giuseppe La Vela?
Our model gives 54% to Matteo Gribaldo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.