Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 11/11, 09:30
Prediction: Simone Massucco vs Jacopo Berrettini
Team pages: Simone Massucco · Jacopo Berrettini
Prediction summary
Winner
Simone Massucco
Jacopo Berrettini
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Simone Massucco
1-9 (W-L)
Jacopo Berrettini
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simone Massucco 1499 · Jacopo Berrettini 1435
| Simone Massucco | Jacopo Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simone Massucco (rating 1499 vs 1435).
- Simone Massucco is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Jacopo Berrettini makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Simone Massucco | Jacopo Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.9 | 7.8-12 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simone Massucco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Michele Mecarelli M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/11 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 04/11 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Dimitar Kisimov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Antoni Fabre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Renaud Lefevre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Alessandro Bellifemine M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Jacopo Berrettini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Gianmarco Ferrari M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 02/04 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Barletta · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Split · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/03 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 24/02 | Mark Lajal Challenger St Brieuc · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/02 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simone Massucco vs Jacopo Berrettini?
Our model gives 58% to Jacopo Berrettini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.