Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 09/11, 16:45
Prediction: Andrea Fiorentini vs Antonio Caruso
Team pages: Andrea Fiorentini · Antonio Caruso
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Fiorentini
Antonio Caruso
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Fiorentini
2-8 (W-L)
Antonio Caruso
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Fiorentini 1394 · Antonio Caruso 1488
| Andrea Fiorentini | Antonio Caruso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antonio Caruso (rating 1394 vs 1488).
- Antonio Caruso is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Andrea Fiorentini makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Fiorentini | Antonio Caruso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-11.8 | 9.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Fiorentini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | John Sperle M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Peter Makk M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | William Nolan M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Dusan Milanovic M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Pedro Vives Marcos M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Antonio Caruso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | John Sperle M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Mariano Tammaro M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Leonardo Primucci M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Silvio Mencaglia M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Fabio Varsalona M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Fiorentini vs Antonio Caruso?
Our model gives 53% to Andrea Fiorentini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.