Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 07/11, 18:30
Prediction: Lorenzo Claverie vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Team pages: Lorenzo Claverie · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
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Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Claverie
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Claverie
6-4 (W-L)
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Claverie 1532 · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1539
| Lorenzo Claverie | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Claverie | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.9 | 11-8.6 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Claverie
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Blu Baker M25 Guadalajara |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/11 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros M25 Guadalajara |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 04/11 | Carlo Arena Fava M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Patricio Alvarado M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Claverie vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes?
Our model gives 57% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.