Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 06/11, 02:00
Prediction: Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros vs Lorenzo Claverie
Team pages: Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros · Lorenzo Claverie
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
Lorenzo Claverie
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Claverie
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros 1518 · Lorenzo Claverie 1516
| Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lorenzo Claverie dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 40% break avg.
Statistics
| Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.7 | 10.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Elijah Strode M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Tariq Simons Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/07 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Lancelot Erler Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 23/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Cesar Stefan Bentzel Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Fadi Bidan M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Lorenzo Claverie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Carlo Arena Fava M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Patricio Alvarado M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros vs Lorenzo Claverie?
Our model gives 59% to Lorenzo Claverie, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.