Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 05/11, 22:30
Prediction: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
Team pages: Blu Baker · Rafael De Alba
Prediction summary
Winner
Blu Baker
Rafael De Alba
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Blu Baker
6-4 (W-L)
Rafael De Alba
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Blu Baker
0–1
Rafael De Alba
(1 last)
- 17 Jan1-2 16-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blu Baker 1501 · Rafael De Alba 1457
| Blu Baker | Rafael De Alba | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blu Baker (rating 1501 vs 1457).
- Head-to-head: Blu Baker 0–1 Rafael De Alba (1).
- Note: Rafael De Alba makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Blu Baker | Rafael De Alba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10 | 9.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Blu Baker 0 – 1 Rafael De Alba (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blu Baker 0–1 Rafael De Alba
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/25 ITF M15 Kingston | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blu Baker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Frazier Rengifo M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Austin |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Tyler Stice M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 04/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Manuel Plunger M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Samuele Seghetti M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Rafael De Alba
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Matteo Covato M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Mazatlan |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/10 | Lucca Liu M15 Mazatlan |
0-1 | 8-11 | L |
| 06/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba?
Our model gives 70% to Blu Baker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.