Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 05/11, 21:00
Prediction: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Maxwell McKennon
Team pages: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes · Maxwell McKennon
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Maxwell McKennon
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
4-6 (W-L)
Maxwell McKennon
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1517 · Maxwell McKennon 1450
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Maxwell McKennon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (rating 1517 vs 1450).
- Note: Maxwell McKennon makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Maxwell McKennon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.2 | 9.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 67.5% | 28.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Maxwell McKennon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Mauricio Echazu M25 Guadalajara |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Togan Tokac Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Samim Filiz Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Maxwell McKennon?
Our model gives 70% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.