Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 05/11, 21:00
Prediction: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Team pages: Jesse Flores · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Prediction summary
Winner
Jesse Flores
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jesse Flores
4-6 (W-L)
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jesse Flores 1504 · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1505
| Jesse Flores | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jesse Flores | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.7 | 12.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 25.5% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jesse Flores
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Stefan Cooper M25 Guadalajara |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Tarun Karra M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 27/10 | Alan Sau Franco M15 Mazatlan |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Reiya Komagata M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Reid Jarvis M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 14/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Our model gives 72% to Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.