Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 07/11, 02:00
Prediction: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Team pages: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
5-5 (W-L)
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
1–0
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
(1 last)
- 22 Nov2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1525 · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1511
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1–0 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (1).
Statistics
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.1 | 12.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 59.6% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1 – 0 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1–0 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/24 Challenger Puerto Vallarta | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Jesse Flores M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Reid Jarvis M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 14/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Our model gives 59% to Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.