Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 07/11, 00:00
Prediction: Blu Baker vs Lorenzo Claverie
Team pages: Blu Baker · Lorenzo Claverie
Prediction summary
Winner
Blu Baker
Lorenzo Claverie
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Blu Baker
7-3 (W-L)
Lorenzo Claverie
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blu Baker 1533 · Lorenzo Claverie 1521
| Blu Baker | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lorenzo Claverie dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 43% break avg.
Statistics
| Blu Baker | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.4 | 11.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blu Baker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Rafael De Alba M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Frazier Rengifo M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Austin |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Tyler Stice M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 04/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Manuel Plunger M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Samuele Seghetti M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Lorenzo Claverie
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros M25 Guadalajara |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 04/11 | Carlo Arena Fava M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Patricio Alvarado M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blu Baker vs Lorenzo Claverie?
Our model gives 53% to Lorenzo Claverie, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.