Tennis · ATP Paris · 07/11, 14:30
Prediction: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
Team pages: Luca Van Assche · Ben Shelton
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Van Assche
Ben Shelton
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Van Assche
5-5 (W-L)
Ben Shelton
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Van Assche 1540 · Ben Shelton 1528
| Luca Van Assche | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Van Assche | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.8 | 14.5-15 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 13.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 25.4% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.6
Over 22.5: 68% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 32% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 05/11 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Learner Tien ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/11 | Mariano Navone ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Learner Tien ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 22/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ben Shelton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Tommy Paul ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/11 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/11 | Cameron Norrie ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Jerome Kym ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 27/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 11/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Jakub Mensik Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton?
Our model gives 63% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.