Prediction: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges
Team pages: Casper Ruud · Nuno Borges
Prediction summary
Winner
Casper Ruud
Nuno Borges
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Casper Ruud
7-3 (W-L)
Nuno Borges
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Casper Ruud
2–2
Nuno Borges
(4 last)
- 28 Oct1-2 13-13L
- 31 Jul2-0 13-9W
- 28 May1-3 11-20L
- 22 Feb2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casper Ruud 1571 · Nuno Borges 1564
| Casper Ruud | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Casper Ruud dominates on serve: 9.9 aces and 43.9% break avg.
- Nuno Borges dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 56.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Casper Ruud | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11 | 11.6-9 |
| Aces | 9.9 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.6
Over 22.5: 46% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 54% · 1.83
H2H · Casper Ruud 2 – 2 Nuno Borges (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casper Ruud 2–2 Nuno Borges
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 ATP Basel | 1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 31/07/25 ATP Toronto | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05/25 French Open | 1-3 | 11-20 | L |
| 22/02/24 ATP Los Cabos | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casper Ruud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Rafael Jodar ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/11 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Learner Tien ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 22-19 | W |
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Ignacio Buse ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Karen Khachanov ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Moise Kouame ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Alex Molcan ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Mika Brunold ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges?
Our model gives 58% to Casper Ruud, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.